Future Land Use Update

 

The City of Locust Grove has undergone tremendous growth since 2000, adding over 8 square miles of land area into the city limits through an aggressive annexation policy. In addition, the city constructed a major wastewater treatment facility along Indian Creek at the Butts County line. This major facility opened up a large area of the southern portion of Henry County for more intense development of commercial and residential land use.

Figure 1. Growth in city limits since 2000. Area in orange shows new territory added into the city. Area in magenta is the old 2000 Census Boundary for the City of Locust Grove.

 

Revisions to Population, Employment, and Housing Needs

The city recently completed a study for the implementation of Development Impact Fees. As part of this process, the Methodology Report showed a tremendous increase in the population, housing units, and employment within the city between now and 2025.

 

Table F-2 of Impact Fee Methodology Report Showing Expected Population Growth

From the data, the total expected population in 2025 is 39,177, which parallels the expected increase by the city based on recent rezoning activity for all types of residential uses since 2000.

Table F-3 of Impact Fee Methodology Report Showing Expected Increase in Housing Units

 

Table F-3 shows the expected increase in the number of housing units between now and 2025. Using a declining household size that is typically expected over a long period of growth and development of a city, the number of dwelling units is estimated at 15,380 by 2025. This is a marked increase of slightly more than 1,100 units reported in the 2000 Census. Given that the predominant zoning has been for a medium-density zoning, the typical lot size is 10,000 square feet, meaning that by 2025 an additional 3,374 acres of land will be needed to accommodate the additional dwelling units. Residential will be the dominant land use at the end of the planning horizon.


Table F-5 from Impact Fee Methodology Report Showing Expected Increase in Employment

Table F-5 shows the expected increase in employment between now and 2025. Using the estimate of 500 square feet per employee in the Methodology Report, a total of 9,458,000 square feet of commercial space will be needed. Given that the typical FAR is 0.25, the total amount of additional acreage needed is 870 acres by 2025.

Existing Land Use

 From the needs listed above, the next step is to examine the current land use of the city. In 2000, the city limits encompassed only 2.1 square miles. As of May of this year, the city has grown to over 6,456 acres or 10.1 square miles. Table 1 below shows the breakdown of existing land use.

Classification

Acres

Percentage

Agriculture/Timber Harvesting

3,862

59.8

Residential

1,296

20.1

Commercial

295

4.6

Industrial

141

2.1

Public and Institutional

51

0.8

Transportation/Communications/Utilities

683

10.6

Parks and Open Space

128

2.0

Total

6,456

100.0

The largest portion of the city is being used for Agriculture and or Timber Harvesting, with the next largest portion of the city used for residential. This is a rather strange pattern for a city; however, this is mainly due to large areas annexed since 2000 that are still undeveloped at this point. It is expected that the residential component will be the largest land use in the city by 2025.

For residential, the breakdown in intensity of use is as follows:

Commercial land use is broken into classes as well:

The remainder of the city land is used for parks and open space, transportation / communications / utilities, and public / institutional purposes.

Future Land Use Policy

The 2025 Future Land Use Policy relies on the commercial center concept in defining distinct areas for the location of appropriate-scale commercial and/or industrial activities. Residential and areas for mixed use are also provided for to allow for more traditional-scale development and to provide for areas with a mixture of land uses.

Residential

Commercial

Future Land Use Allocation

Land Use Classification

Existing

Land Use

%

Future

Land Use

%

Agriculture/Timber Harvesting

3,862

59.8

0

0.0

Residential

1,296

20.1

2,711

42.0

Commercial

295

4.6

734

11.4

Industrial

141

2.1

228

3.5

Mixed-Use

0.0

0.0

824

12.8

Public and Institutional

51

0.8

266

4.1

Transportation/Communications/Utilities

683

10.6

1164

18.0

Parks and Open Space

128

2.0

529

8.2

Total

6,456

100.0

6456

100.0

Residential Demand for Land. Projections from population show a need for an additional 3,374 acres of land for residential needs. The future land use map shows an addition of 1,500 acres of purely residential land, meaning that additional units must be comprised in higher densities, as part of mixed use development, or a combination of both.

Commercial / Industrial Demand for Land. Accounting for the number of new employment, there was a need for an additional 870 acres. With adjustment for efficiency of land use and market choice (15%), the gross land area needed is 1,000 acres. The future land use map adds only an additional 526 acres of segregated commercial or industrial land. Thus, the addition of 824 acres must accommodate both the anticipated need for residential and employment demand.

Other Land Use Demand. It is anticipated that most all of the property within the existing city limits will be utilized for some type of land use other than agriculture or timber harvesting. Thus, the amount of remaining agriculture land is estimated at zero or some negligible amount. There is a tremendous growth in the allocation of land for transportation, communications, and utilities. This is due mainly to the need to construct streets within the various land use categories along with the need for new transportation corridors as the overall area grows. In addition, there is a marked increase in the amount of open space; however, this is mainly due to existing ordinances protecting areas along major streams and in buffers between residential areas that are subject to conservation residential overlay.

Implementation

 

Implementation of the land use policy will be performed through the use of zoning and development regulation along with the timely construction of infrastructure to serve the necessary transition of land.

The City of Locust Grove is to take over all zoning and development functions under the Service Delivery Strategy Agreement (SDSA) of 2005 by July 1, 2005. As part of this assumption of services, the city is preparing an interim zoning ordinance and subdivision code.

Under the SDSA, the city and county are to work together on the preparation of a new joint comprehensive plan. Preparations are underway for this work to begin by the end of 2005. Prior to completion of that plan, the city will begin a major revision to its codes in a similar fashion as Henry County in the development of a Unified Land Development Code (ULDC). The ULDC will be a more effective tool to accommodate this Future Land Use Policy. The City anticipates adoption of this code by 2007.